World Cup Round of 32 – July 4 Preview: Argentina Face Cape Verde, Colombia Meet Ghana | Win Probability + Match Outlook
The final day of the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 brings three exciting knockout fixtures. Argentina take on tournament surprise package Cape Verde, Australia battle Egypt in a closely matched contest, while Colombia and Ghana prepare for what could be one of the most competitive games of the round.
With a place in the Round of 16 on the line, every opportunity and every defensive mistake could shape the outcome.

Australia vs Egypt (July 4 | Round of 32)
Win Probability
🇦🇺 Australia Win: 44%
🤝 Draw (After 90 Minutes): 29%
🇪🇬 Egypt Win: 27%
Predicted Scores
1️⃣ Australia 2–1 Egypt
2️⃣ Australia 1–0 Egypt
3️⃣ 1–1 Draw (Extra Time)
Key Factors
Australia's physical presence
Egypt's counter-attacking speed
Midfield battles
Match Analysis
Australia are expected to rely on their physicality, aerial strength and disciplined defensive structure. Egypt, meanwhile, possess quick transitions and can be dangerous whenever space opens up behind the Australian defence.
This fixture looks evenly balanced, with fine margins likely to decide the winner.
Australia should look to control territory and press higher up the pitch, while Egypt are expected to stay compact and attack on the counter.
Australia hold a slight edge, but Egypt are capable of forcing extra time.

Argentina vs Cape Verde (July 4 | Round of 32)
Win Probability
🇦🇷 Argentina Win: 76%
🤝 Draw (After 90 Minutes): 15%
🇨🇻 Cape Verde Win: 9%
Predicted Scores
1️⃣ Argentina 3–0 Cape Verde
2️⃣ Argentina 2–0 Cape Verde
3️⃣ Argentina 3–1 Cape Verde
Key Factors
Argentina's attacking efficiency
Cape Verde's defensive discipline
Control of possession
Match Analysis
Argentina enter the knockout stage as one of the strongest title contenders, boasting outstanding squad depth, technical quality and major tournament experience.
Cape Verde have been one of the biggest stories of this World Cup, reaching the knockout stage through disciplined defending and fearless performances. While they face a huge challenge against Argentina, they have already shown they can compete with highly rated opponents.
Argentina are expected to dominate possession from the opening whistle and create sustained attacking pressure.
Cape Verde will likely defend deep, remain compact and wait for opportunities to launch quick counter-attacks.
An early goal for Argentina could completely dictate the flow of the match.
Argentina are overwhelming favourites to progress, but Cape Verde have already proved they deserve their place in the knockout stage.

Colombia vs Ghana (July 4 | Round of 32)
Win Probability
🇨🇴 Colombia Win: 51%
🤝 Draw (After 90 Minutes): 25%
🇬🇭 Ghana Win: 24%
Predicted Scores
1️⃣ Colombia 2–1 Ghana
2️⃣ Colombia 1–0 Ghana
3️⃣ 1–1 Draw (Extra Time)
Key Factors
Colombia's midfield control
Ghana's pace on the wings
Set-piece efficiency
Match Analysis
Colombia have a slight advantage thanks to their organised build-up play and ability to control possession. Ghana remain a dangerous side because of their athleticism, direct attacking style and pace in transition.
This could easily become one of the closest knockout ties of the Round of 32.
Colombia are expected to control possession, while Ghana will look to exploit space through quick counter-attacks.
If the match remains level entering the closing stages, extra time becomes a genuine possibility.
Colombia have a narrow advantage, but Ghana possess the quality and athleticism to produce an upset.
Sources
Reuters
FourFourTwo
The Sun
NY Post
Official FIFA World Cup Match Schedule
Can Argentina continue their title charge against Cape Verde? Will Australia edge past Egypt in a tightly contested battle? And between Colombia and Ghana, which side will book the final place in the Round of 16?
